The second half of the season has started, and our Statistical Analysis articles are back with an update for GW21. In this article, we will present the key facts and statistics of the W Fansports 1M PL Season game from gameweek 21!
Gameweeks 21: Team scores
What a crazy week this was! All but one of the popular captains did poorly, top teams were stunned for surprising losses, and even the big favorites got narrow wins against relatively easy matchups.
This all led to lower-than-average scores overall, but with wide distribution among our teams. Managers who picked Salah as their captain made a big jump in the standings, while players who trusted the likes of Sterling, Cancelo, or Son were left behind… Let’s see how the score distribution went:
- Best team of Gameweek 21: 102 points
- Average Score of Gameweek 21: 52.8 points
- Top 10% threshold for Gameweek 21: 72.5 points
- Top 25% threshold for Gameweek 21: 63.5 points
Gameweek 21: Top players
Let’s see below how some key players performed this week. The X-axis on the chart visualizes the player’s price, while on the Y-axis the points scored on Gameweek 20 and 19. The size of the bubble shows how popular each player is. The top-left quadrant is where the best picks of the week lie (cheap and high-scoring), while on the bottom-right we find the underachievers (expensive and low-scoring).
Top fantasy scorers for Gameweek 21
- Mohamed Salah (12.2M – MID): 14 Fantasy Points – 10.853 teams (43.24%)
- Patrick Bamford (7.1M – FWD): 14 Fantasy Points – 10.192 teams (40.6%)
- Cesar Azpilicueta (5.3M – DEF): 13 Fantasy Points – 342 teams (1.36%)
- Marcos Alonso (4.9M – DEF): 13 Fantasy Points – 48 teams (0.19%)
- Callum Wilson (6.9M – FWD): 12 Fantasy Points – 3.539 teams (14.1%)
Gameweek 21: How teams lined up
Top captains for Gameweek 21
In this gameweek, the captaincy pick was pretty interesting. Most of the managers chose Raheem Sterling as a captain, but the Manchester City player didn’t play at all!! Only 14% of managers correctly picked Mohamed Salah as their captain, while the hot-pick Gundogan had 13.2% captaincy. Most of the managers expected Manchester City to score many goals due to the easy match-up against Sheffield United and the 1-0 final score was a big disappointment for them.
Top transfers before Gameweek 21
In a season-long game like this, one of the biggest factors of each team is the transfers they make and which players are bought or sold over the season.
Below we have listed the 5 most popular purchases and sales for the two weeks:
Most Purchased Players before Gameweek 21
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin (8.3M – FWD): 4.739 teams (18.88%)
- Lucas Digne (5.4M – DEF): 1.273 teams (5.09%)
- Ilkay Gundogan (6.0M – MID): 1.182 teams (4.71%)
- Joao Cancelo (5.2M – DEF): 1.057 teams (4.21%)
- Ben Chilwell (5.5M – DEF): 850 teams (4.07%)
Most Sold Players before Gameweek 21
- Harry Kane (11.5M – FWD): 4.712 teams (18.77%)
- Kurt Zouma (5.0M – DEF): 1.215 teams (4.84%)
- Patrick Bamford (7.1M – FWD): 797 teams (3.18%)
- Jamie Vardy (10.8M – FWD): 734 teams (2.92%)
- Kevin De Bruyne (11.9M – MID): 654 teams (2.61%)
Transfers overview for Gameweek 21
Another important part of the game’s strategy is how managers spend their transfers. Choosing to pay a -4p penalty to change a player is a risky move, but is often important to tackle the matchups or save up enough funds for a key transfer.
More than half of the teams made 0 transfers this week. Many managers are inactive and some choose to save their free transfers for the next gameweek. A little bit more than 1 out of 4 made only their one free transfer.
Harry Kane is one of the most popular fantasy players and his injury forced all the managers owning him to sell. Probably the extra money of Harry Kane forced many managers to transfer more than 1 player to upgrade someone else in the team!
Wildcards are used to “reset” your team, allowing unlimited transfers to be made for a single Gameweek. Each team has two wildcards available, one in the first half of the season, and one for the second half.
This was the second gameweek of the second half, with all teams having a fresh wildcard in their hands. In this gameweek, only 2.5% of the managers used a wild card. Most of the managers choose to save their wild card for a ‘’better’’ gameweek. We do expect some teams to have double gameweeks due to the many cancels of the pandemic.
Wrapping up: Standings after Gameweek 21
Below you will see a distribution of the team standings so far. For charting purposes, we’ve hidden the very low scores (below 810p) that represent ~1.6% of the sample.
The graph got even wider after this week… with a vast difference among the captain scores, some teams managed to get closer to the hot spots, and some fallen back, leading to many changes in the rankings.
Our elite on top is becoming even more dominant too, with the top 0.5% on top getting a wide lead from the rest.
- 1085 teams (~4.3%) are above 1,300 points
- Only 10 teams are above 1,400 points (~0.04%)
- 4,365 teams are between in the tight window between 1,230-1,320 points (~17%), covering most of the paid spots between 30-100€.
- Around 30% of the teams are now below 1,070 points in total, more than 150p away from the paid spots
- The average total score across the competition now stands at 1,123 points